Second peak, maybe

Today Il Giornale di Sicilia, a newspaper of Palermo, wrote that the swine flu epidemic might hit again Italy, and that a further peak might occur in the next months. Apparently, the newspaper was quoting CDC Director Thomas Frieden. Meanwhile, the Bmj, a scientific journal, published an article on December 7th, with the title “Fall in swine flu cases may not signal an end of the epidemic, warns Professor Donaldson”, in which it was explained why experts are cautious about the end of the pandemic in Europe. It said also that UK health authorities are uneasy because “the continuing deaths from swine flu and the high rate of hospitalisations despite low levels of the disease in the community”. The death toll has reached 270 in the United Kingdom and there are still 1000 people in hospital. According to the last report of the Italian Ministry of Health, updated on December 24th , in Italy the deaths are 188. Campania accounts for 25% of the fatal cases (47 deaths). But Campania accounts for only 10% of the Italian population.